Arch Manning’s dedication to Texas is actually a large recruiting victory for the Longhorns as they attempt to rebuild their proud – however underachieving – soccer program. Manning will assist with different recruits in his 2023 class and past plus he bolsters credibility for coach Steve Sarkisian after an terrible debut season.
However what his impression on the sphere will likely be murkier. Sure, he’s the No. 1-rated quarterback in his class and he has two uncles who every received a pair of Tremendous Bowls and a grandfather who was one of many nice gamers in SEC historical past. None of that ensures success or rubber stamps him because the savior of the Texas program or a future because the No. 1 total choose within the NFL draft.
Look no additional than the profession of Chris Simms at Texas. An equally heralded prospect that was the son of a Tremendous Bowl MVP, he by no means discovered his footing with the Longhorns and didn’t ship of their largest video games.
There’s a broad spectrum of accomplishment amongst these gamers in Arch Manning’s scenario. What’s the probability he matches the excessive expectations for him? Historical past will help information us with a have a look at the top-rated quarterbacks within the final 20 recruiting courses and the way their careers advanced. (Rankings primarily based on 247 Sports activities composite for every season). One factor value noting – eight of the group transferred and 6 to date have been first-round picks.
Vince Younger, Texas (2002)
The Houston native was one of many dynamic gamers throughout his three seasons with the Longhorns. He led the group to the nationwide championship in 2005 and completed second within the voting for the Heisman Trophy. He was drafted by the Tennessee Titans within the first spherical of the 2006 draft, however his NFL profession ended after six seasons.
Kyle Wright, Miami (Fla.) (2003)
Regarded as the successor to the proficient Hurricanes quarterbacks that got here earlier than him, Wright by no means fulfilled these expectations, throwing for simply 38 touchdowns and 31 interceptions. He went undrafted in 2008
Rhett Bomar, Oklahoma (2004)
Bomar began throughout his redshirt freshman season in 2005 and confirmed promise, profitable the Vacation Bowl MVP. Nonetheless, he was kicked off the group that offseason as a result of his involvement in NCAA guidelines violations. Bomar transferred to Sam Houston State and was drafted by the New York Giants within the fifth spherical of the 2009 draft, spending a lot of the subsequent two years on the group’s observe squad. He was signed by the Minnesota Vikings and later the Oakland Raiders however by no means threw a go within the NFL.
Mark Sanchez, Southern California (2005)
Sanchez wouldn’t develop into the full-time starter for the Trojans till his fourth season and led the group to the Rose Bowl whereas throwing for 34 touchdowns. He entered the NFL draft with one 12 months of eligibility remaining and was taken with the fifth choose within the first spherical by the New York Jets. He led the Jets to 2 AFC championship video games earlier than his profession stalled. His final look was in 2018.
Matthew Stafford, Georgia (2006)
Stafford took over the beginning job with the Bulldogs early in his freshman season and did not relinquish it till leaving after his junior 12 months. Georgia was profitable throughout his time there, however the group didn’t make the SEC title recreation earlier than the Detroit Lions made him the No. 1st total choose within the 2008 draft. In his first season with the Los Angeles Rams in 2021, he led the group to a Tremendous Bowl victory.
Jimmy Clausen, Notre Dame (2007)
Arriving to the announcement of his dedication in a limousine on the Faculty Soccer Corridor of Fame in South Bend, Indiana, there was loads of scrutiny on Clausen from the beginning. Clausen was n’t a generational expertise as his hype urged, however he had a stable three years as a starter for the Combating Irish with 53 touchdowns in his remaining two seasons, although the group struggled. He was taken within the second spherical of the 2010 NFL draft by the Carolina Panthers and compelled to begin 10 video games of his rookie season, profitable only one. He final performed in 2015.
Terrelle Pryor, Ohio State (2008)
Pryor assumed the beginning job for the Buckeyes as a freshman and led them to the Large Ten title as a sophomore. His profession was minimize brief in 2010 when he was implicated in NCAA guidelines violations and suspended for the group’s bowl recreation. Pryor was chosen within the third spherical of the NFL’s supplemental draft in 2011 by the Oakland Raiders. He began 10 video games for the Raiders throughout his 4 years with the group and ultimately switched to broad receiver. He final performed in 2018.
Matt Barkley, Southern California (2009)
One other participant with excessive expectations, Barkley succeeded Sanchez because the starter for the Trojans after profitable the job as a real freshman. Two of his seasons have been performed with USC on probation however coming into his senior 12 months USC was ranked No. 1 within the preseason and he was thought of the Heisman favourite. Nonetheless, the group misplaced 5 video games and Barkley would fall to the fourth spherical of the 2015 NFL draft. He has bounced across the NFL with a number of groups and lately signed with the Buffalo Payments.
Phillip Sims, Alabama (2010)
This 12 months’s recruiting class lacked an elite expertise on the place, making Sims one of many lowest top-rated quarterbacks within the final quarter century. Sims was the backup to AJ McCarron for 2 seasons earlier than transferring residence to Virginia. He performed in 12 video games for the Cavaliers in 2012 then moved to Winston-Salem State after changing into academically ineligible. It was undrafted in 2015.
Jeff Driskel, Florida (2011)
Driskel performed 4 seasons for the Gators together with his brilliant spot coming in 2012 when he led the group to 11 wins and the Sugar Bowl regardless of throwing for simply 12 touchdowns. He was injured and misplaced for the season the next 12 months within the third recreation. After shedding his job in 2014, he transferred to Louisiana Tech and was ultimately chosen within the sixth spherical of the 2016 NFL draft by the San Francisco 49ers. Driskel began 5 video games for the Cincinnati Bengals in 2018 and one for the Detroit Lions the next 12 months. He’s at present a member of the Houston Texans.
Jameis Winston, Florida State (2012)
The one quarterback on this checklist to win a nationwide title and the Heisman Trophy, Winston redshirted his freshman season earlier than profitable his first 26 video games as a starter. The primary 14 got here in his preliminary marketing campaign that noticed him throw for 40 touchdowns because the Seminoles beat Auburn within the BCS title recreation. They might attain the Faculty Soccer Playoff the next 12 months. Winston then departed as he was chosen first total within the 2015 NFL draft by the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. He performed 5 seasons for the Bucs earlier than transferring on to the New Orleans Saints, the place he has been the previous two seasons.
Max Browne, Southern California (2013)
The third Trojans signee on this checklist, Browne was a backup for his first three seasons. After profitable the beginning job in 2016, a poor outing towards Alabama within the opener led to him being changed by Sam Darnold. Browne left for Pittsburgh the next season and was the starter for 5 video games earlier than a season-ending harm. He was undrafted.
Kyle Allen, Texas A&M (2014)
Allen shared the beginning position as a freshman after which received the job the next season. He was ultimately changed by Kyler Murray after midseason struggles and transferred to Houston after the season. Allen sat out the season in 2016 and misplaced his beginning job early within the following season after which elected to enter the NFL draft. He signed with the Carolina Panthers after going undrafted. He performed two seasons with the Panthers and two extra with Washington earlier than signing with Houston this offseason.
Josh Rosen, UCLA (2015)
Rosen was thought of a can’t-miss prospect after his heralded highschool profession and he carried out effectively in his freshman season, throwing for 23 touchdowns and main the Bruins to eight wins. He was injured halfway by his sophomore season and declared for the NFL draft after his junior 12 months. A primary-round choose of the Arizona Cardinals in 2018, he began 13 video games in his rookie season after which was traded to the Miami Dolphins. He additionally frolicked with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, San Francisco 49ers and Atlanta Falcons in his 4 seasons.
Shea Patterson, Mississippi (2016)
Patterson deliberate to redshirt his freshman season however was pressed into motion late within the marketing campaign as a result of an harm. His sturdy performances in these remaining three video games created optimism earlier than the following season however Ole Miss was positioned on probation and coach Hugh Freeze was fired. Patterson was injured halfway by the 12 months and would switch to Michigan. He performed effectively for the Wolverines, tossing 45 touchdowns in these two seasons, however went undrafted in 2020. He has performed within the Canadian Soccer League and USFL since.
Davis Mills, Stanford (2017)
Mills assumed the beginning job for the Cardinal after an harm in his third season. The pandemic restricted him to simply 5 video games in 2020 and he entered the NFL draft in 2021. The Houston Texas chosen him within the third spherical and he began 11 video games final 12 months. Regardless of solely profitable two video games, he broke the group document for passing yards by a rookie and is predicted to be the starter this season.
Trevor Lawrence, Clemson (2018)
Like Manning is predicted to be, Lawrence was the consensus No. 1 total participant in his recruiting class. He lived as much as these predictions as soon as assuming the beginning job early in his freshman season and main the Tigers to the nationwide title. Clemson would seem in two Faculty Soccer Playoffs after that after which Lawrence declared for the NFL draft. He was chosen first total by the Jacksonville Jaguars and began all 17 video games in his rookie season.
Spencer Rattler, Oklahoma (2019)
After sitting behind Jalen Hurts his freshman 12 months, Rattler went by rising pains in his first 12 months as a starter earlier than rebounding to steer the Sooners to the Large 12 title. The presumptive Heisman favourite coming into final season, he once more struggled and was ultimately changed by Caleb Williams towards Texas and didn’t begin one other recreation. He transferred to South Carolina for this season.
Bryce Younger, Alabama (2020)
Younger is the second winner of a Heisman Trophy on this checklist after he piled up 47 touchdowns and 4,872 yards in his first season as a starter final 12 months. The Crimson Tide reached the Faculty Soccer Playoff recreation earlier than shedding to Georgia. Younger is predicted to enter the NFL draft after this season and tasks to be a first-round choose.
Quinn Ewers, Ohio State (2021)
Ewers elected to bypass his remaining season of highschool and enroll with the Buckeyes. His late arrival throughout the preseason and the depth of the quarterback competitors led to him being buried on the depth chart for the season. He was elected to switch to Texas and competed for the beginning job this spring.
Observe schools reporter Erick Smith on Twitter @ericksmith